The Scottish referendum and the FOGF that will attend Ukip's cause in 2017

UKIPPERS TAKE NOTE. What is happening to Alex Salmond and his Scottish Nationalists, will happen to Nigel Farage and UKIP if (and it is a big if) Cameron wins in 2015 and holds an In/Out referendum in 2017.

            

             What I am referring to is the onslaught from the media, politicians, businessmen and companies attacking Scottish independence. The fear of God, in this final week before the poll, is being put into the Scots. The Royal Bank of Scotland, Lloyd's, and John Lewis, among others, have threatened to bring their businesses south, or increase their prices if there is a yes vote. While the head of the Bank of England fires yet another broadside across the bows of Scottish independence, warning that there cannot be a currency union without a loss of sovereignty (the very negation of national independence).

            

             The pace of the campaign of fear seems to have picked up since last Sunday when a Sunday Times poll gave the Yes vote a lead for the first time. A panic stricken assemblage of Londonistan political leaders finally woke up to the possible reality of a victory for Mr Salmond a week from today. After much nail biting and scratching of heads our political bantam weights decided to do what they have avoided throughout this campaign - to travel north into enemy territory, in order to humiliate themselves and the English by prostrating themselves before the Scottish electorate.

            

             Alex Salmond appeared over the moon, seeing the journey as a desperate attempt by Westminster to try and recover what he now believed was a lost cause.

GORDON BROWN was the first to promise the Scots all kinds of devomax goodies if they remained part of the Union. What authority he had to do such a thing mattered little because he knew Cameron, Milliband, and Clegg were considered no more welcome than a dose of syphilis north of the boarder by millions, if not all Scots. Gordon Brown could write whatever cheque he chose knowing that Westminster would not object if it kept the Union safe.

            

             Now it appears from the latest polls that the No campaign has recovered from what many now see as the Yes vote's high water mark; and all the panic that ensued and all the desperate pleading and promises of greater powers will prove to have been unnecessary. I believe, as I have always done, that the No vote would win, if only through the 'Fear of God Factor' (FOGF).

            

             Which brings us to a possible EU referendum in 2017; of which the unfolding events of fear that will have proved so successful with the Scots will be deployed once more, but of a far greater duration and greater intensity - with much more digging for dirt into Nigel Farage's past, of the kind which we saw throughout the media last May during the European elections when we witnessed such a mauling of a man's character, that we had never witnessed from the so-called popular press before.

            

            Thankfully the British public  saw such attacks for what they were. What the press did not realise is that their support for the political establishment was not shared by their readers; who, along with much of the British public have become disillusioned with the current party political setup at Westminster, were a social democratic triumphret rules the nation.

I HOPE AND BELIEVE that Nigel Farage and Ukip will take a lesson from the Scottish referendum, and learn from it if they have not already done so. In 2015, if Cameron wins in 2017, the FOGF will go nuclear. What we have witnessed during this Scottish referendum campaign from the English liberal establishment's attempt to keep Scotland 'safe' within the union is merely a dress rehearsal for what will be thrown at Ukip and Nigel Farage if the country is ever to be given a referendum on remaining in Europe.

            

             Those of us who oppose EU membership should study what forces were brought out against the SNP. The English establishment (and it is English) will also do whatever is required to keep the UK within the European Union, as they did to keep Scotland part of the Union. Think of the British liberal establishment as a river; but with many tributaries encompassing some two thirds of the media flowing from the main source; and all feeding off that source in one way or another as far as a settled status quo is concerned.

            

             The outsiders are the so-called Right-wing press who rightly challenge this liberal hegemony. But when it comes to Europe, they join forces with the liberalista in seeking to destroy Nigel Farage and Ukip. There is a sort of unspoken alliance between both the Right and Left of Centre; including the political centre itself. The Conservative Right's back benchers have put their misplaced faith in Cameron to negotiate a settlement with the EU, which they believe will allow this nation to remain a nation; unanswerable to any law other than that carved out by Westminster.

            

             Surely no one on the Eurosceptic benches of the parliamentary Conservative Party can seriously believe that such proposals will even be included as part of Cameron's negotiated settlement - let alone be accepted by Europe. But, nevertheless, such a settlement would have to serve as the minimal requirement for keeping the UK a sovereign nation state.

I BELIEVE IN THE Union, without it fragmentation will only follow. But Nigel Farage should be studying the tactics used against Salmond and his championing of Scottish independence and ignore the result, whatever it is. Ukip will have to counter far worse than the SNP have had to do from the liberal establishment if and when an EU referendum takes place -  it is better to be forewarned in order to forearm.

            

            Constitutionally speaking, we live in dangerous times. If Scotland votes for independence next Thursday, panic will once more grip the establishment; who have been ill-prepared (as ancient regimes throughout history often were) for a Yes vote. Complacency, arrogance, call it what you will – if we find ourselves, come next Friday, one nation short of a United Kingdom, then the Westminster political landscape will have suffered a tsunami. The emotional part of me would welcome such an outcome; but the sane and rational part believes that the Union has served all of its people well, and allowed the UK to prosper historically like no other nation on earth – and if that is not sufficient reason for voting NO, then there is no other.