Ukip must prick the bubble; but also contain their egos.

THE TROUBLE WITH living in a bubble is that you become complacent and cut off from reality. Those living within such a bubble like our London journalists; including political commentators and politicians, their speech writers and political advisors; as well of course the metropolitan luvviedom and the rainbow coalition of liberal arty-fartydom; who all immerse themselves in their own micro-culture of what they believe to be a multicultural metropolitan utopia; where they do not have to make any kind of physical contact with any other part of the country.

            

            To such a grouping, the three party system has been their financial and political mainstay. To the political elite, and their fellow travellers among the parliamentary correspondents; the tripartite party system has been bankrolling them for decades. The three party system is as important to the political journalists as it is to the political parties they feed off - like those tiny fish that hover above sharks, cleaning the microscopic bacterial residue from their skins. This is the kind of symbiosis between the three party system and the political journalists and commentators.

            

             Now a new force threatens this cosy arrangement. Ukip is not a new party, but one that has been in existence for over 20 years. In all those years, it has had to wait the finalisation of the public's indifference to the tripartite Westminster arrangement. Since 2010 and the arrival of coalition government, vast areas of the country outside of London have finally become disillusioned with the ConLabLib Metropolitan consensus; and thousands of them have turned toward Ukip and millions have voted for them from within all the main parties, that have always been slow through a cocky complacency to take Ukip seriously.

            

             As far as Ukip is concerned, the Conservative Party have behaved to them with the same kind of arrogance reminiscent of France's Bourbon dynasty once used toward the people of France in the 18^th century – the arrogance of the Divine Right to rule. Arrogant self-confidence has been Cameron's main rebuke to Ukip. His early dismissive reference to Ukip as comprising lunicidal swivelled eyed aged fanatics; and one time Conservative voters, was his contribution to Ukip's early successes.

AFTER THE European elections, we were given further evidence that Ukip were a force to be reckoned with – a force made stronger by the addition to its ranks of one of the Tory parties brightest and best.

            

             Douglas Carswell's mighty victory in Clacton with a majority of 12,404, or  61% of the vote; followed up by the Great Labour Scare at Heywood and Middleton, where Ukip came within 617 votes of beating Labour in one of its strongholds; has finally made both the Conservative and Labour parties take Ukip seriously. Farage, the onetime perfect anachronistic stereotypical, 'beer swilling' swivelled eyed xenophobic anti-immigrant and ex-military backwoodsman, which once represented the perfect caricature of the 'Old Toryism,' much despised by the 'New Tory' Cameroons; has taught the vacuous hobbledehoy now steering the modern 'Tory' party to oblivion, a bitter lesson.

            

              Nigel Farage and Ukip have pierced the bubble of oxygen the Metropolitan elite have lived under; and has now finally woken them up to a new force in British politics, which they previously sneered at; if, that is, they considered them at all. The Metropolitan political movers and shakers - that breed of self-important arrogant liberal commentators of the type invited into various television studios, to give their views on the next day's newspaper headlines each evening, are still, after Clacton and Heywood and Middleton, appearing like luddites, refusing to ignore any progress that falls outside their political liberal comfort zone.

UKIP ARE STILL in that zone where it can go bottom up at any moment. It is a party approaching its third trimester of political pregnancy; which will be in May of next year, when either it faces a healthy birth with a minimal influence in parliament, or one which tears itself apart. Come next May, Ukip must limit its ambitions and once done so, stick to them and still believe themselves to be the next force in British politics.

            

            There is a part of me which would like to see a Lib-Lab coalition after next year's election. I believe that Ukip's next and final advance into power at Westminster, would be as a result of a Tory defeat and a coalition between Labour and the Lib-Democrats. Such a coalition, if successful, would destroy both parties.

           

             Labour and the Lib Dems in coalition would represent well under 50% of the population come next May's general election; even if Labour retained its core vote and entered an alliance with the Lib Dems with an expected 7% of the national vote. They would 'govern', and in doing so drive the final stake into the heart of  'progressive' politics by their behaviour in government.

UKIP HAS THIS one opportunity to hold back the 40 year tide of liberal failure that has brought this country almost to its knees. Next May they have this single chance to reverse the liberal tide that has engulfed British culture since the late 1950s.

            

             What worries me about Ukip is not their policies, but the egos that seed the party. If there is a great falling out between competing egos within the party, from Nigel Farage down, then this will spell the end, not only of Ukip, but an alternative to the wretched ConLabLib triumphret.

            

             If Ukip really cares about this nation, then individual egos must learn to co-exist. If they cannot then the other parties and the press will pounce, and it will be the end of the UKs one chance to abandon a European political and monetary federal union…in other words it will amount to the death of the nation state (the UK).