Tuesday, October 6, 2015

Cameron deludes himself and the public

THERE ARE TWO ACTIONS that David Cameron will never take: the first is leaving the EU, and the second is pressing the nuclear button. Both actions are inconceivable, and the European Commission, Angela Merkle, President Hollande, and Vladimir Putin also know this to be true – dam it, Cameron himself knows it to be true. On Sunday's Andrew Marr programme Cameron said as much on the question of him being prepared to leave the EU: asked the question by Marr whether he was prepared to leave the EU, Marr received this circuitous answer, '[in the negotiations] I leave nothing out.' Not Yes or NO, but the more vacuous and cowardly obfuscation – no wonder politicians are held in such contempt, and the public are turning to Nigel Farage and Jeremy Corbyn rather than put up with this state of affairs.   
                
                Cameron is a Europhile; fully committed to the EU, who was forced into renegotiating our relationship with Europe because of the rise of Ukip – his heart is not really in it. He is the last person to be renegotiating reform of the EU on behave of the Eurosceptic people of England (I will not say the UK). This man has a record for dissembling. He told us he would never sign the Lisbon Treaty [1] if (that is) we were not signed up to it when and if he came to power. This was a nod and a wink to Gordon Brown, who took him at his word, and signed the Treaty in Lisbon on 13 December 2007: three years before Cameron was elected to office as prime minister. Cameron knew that he could promise his Eurosceptics never to sign it knowing that the Labour Party under Gordon Brown (if for no other reason than his personal hatred of the Tories) would sign-up to the Treaty before the Tories ever came to power.
                
               Without the pressure from Ukip, Cameron would have freely signed the Lisbon Treaty. Cameron was leading his somewhat Eurosceptic party by their nose[2]; and those who became wise to his dissembling went over to Ukip who, at the time, Cameron had nothing but a haughty contempt for; and presented a distasteful caricature of them to the media. But as Ukip made advances in local and European elections, Cameron had to take Nigel Farage and his party seriously: he had to eventually promise a referendum on EU membership, but only after pressing for reform of the EU on the commissioners which he thought, in the tradition of European solidarity, would try to accommodate him in his suggestions for keeping England if not the whole of the UK within the EU.
                
                We have to wait and see what Cameron achieves, but any concordant that leaves in place the Schengen agreement on the free movements of peoples; or the gradual strangulation of our national sovereignty, by continuing to elevate EU law above the sovereign laws of our nation state, and its ability to debate and create them in our own parliament with little or no reference to the European Court of Human Rights or Justice; or any other infernal body of the EU - will not do. 

NOW WE COME TO Trident and Cameron's readiness to press the button and Jeremy Corbyn's unwillingness under any circumstance to do so. I loathe Corbyn deeply; not as an individual (although his naivety upsets me and makes me angry; but never to the point of wishing to be the receptacle for any kind of physical violence to him), but I loathe him for the damage his loathsome nostrums will do to the country if he were ever to become prime minister.
                
                Where I do however have certain sympathy for him is in his admission that he would never, under any circumstances, press the nuclear button. This is the genuine honesty of the type Corbyn proselytises. He says what no other of this country's current leaders have ever been prepared to do – to be honest with people regarding pressing the nuclear button. During the Cold War political leaders were fully but unhappily prepared to respond to any nuclear assault by the Soviet Union on the West.
                
                Today when nuclear deterrence is still, unfortunately, needed; no one in this country believes Cameron when he says he is fully prepared to press the button in extenuating circumstances. He is no more prepared to order the deaths of hundreds of thousands of people, than he has been to bomb civilians in his fight against the Taliban in Afghanistan, or ISIS if civilians were being used as human shields. In fact he and the West condemned Israel for ignoring the human shields deployed by Hamas in Gaza when they were forced by Hamas rockets showering Israel, to intervene in Gaza.
                
                Corbyn is at least honest enough to admit he could never press the nuclear button. Cameron lacks such honesty. He is fully prepared to press the button if needs must; or so he says. But like everything else he says, it is for the moment; the only function of his rhetoric is to delude the British people and score another point or two over Corbyn.
                
                 A Republican president would be prepared to use it; Putin would be prepared to use it; Kim Jong-un would be prepared to use it; Netanyahu would be prepared to use it: and Iran when they get a button to press will be prepared to do so – or at least in all of these cases the public throughout the world genuinely believe them when they say they would press it. But Cameron and Hollande representing the only two European nuclear powers would not be prepared to press the button.
                
                Our leaders lack the ruthlessness of their enemies to fight a conventional war; let alone a nuclear one. In fact, as a supporter of possessing a nuclear capability; it is only worth the billions of tax payer's pounds to pay for it, and keep it functioning, if this country's leaders are prepared to use it – which they are not; in which case why pour billions of tax payers money into such a deterrent if it is only a symbolic deterrent. This is why Putin is outmanoeuvring the West; he knows we are weak; he knows we lack the ruthlessness to stop him, and we will eventually pay the price for our feebleness and lack of any kind of response other than the limp rhetoric and fatuous warnings which go ignored.
                
               David Cameron is becoming unconvincing by the day to his public, when it comes to the EU and our nuclear deterrent. Jeremy Corbyn is like the child who shouts out 'the king has no clothes'; and indeed it is the case when it comes to the EU and our nuclear deterrent.
               

               




[1] The treaty which incorporated the free movement of peoples
[2] Trust me, as a former member of the Bullingdon Club, to do what is right.

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