WHAT IS BEING DESCRIBED as 'crunch talks' between Cameron and the EU will take place tomorrow: at least Neville Chamberlin had a piece of paper to wave as he disembarked from his plane in 1938, after signing the Munich Agreement and heralding it as; 'peace in our time'.
What will Cameron have to wave in front of the media when he returns? We have already been told by his advisers and spin doctors that the prime ministers' plan for stopping welfare to migrants until they have been resident in the UK for four years is now a none starter. This was meant to be the very least Cameron had hoped to bring back – but when he started, Cameron had 15 demands; now he has only four. But this week the British people have been told that even this thin serving of gruel is no longer (if it ever was) achievable. So what is the point of this 'crunch meeting'?
Remember? The main issues of immigration and the free movement of peoples and open borders for loss of sovereignty and the supremacy of European law over English law. The issue of open borders has been cataclysmic for Europe; the scenes last summer as swathes of migrants crossed the Mediterranean and hundreds of thousands found their way into Europe via Italy, Turkey and Greece: scenes that will be repeated next summer, thanks partly to Angela Merkle's invitation last summer.
So, we know what the bottom line for the British people is in any meaningful negotiation; and the four-year wait to receive benefits, comes nowhere near the mark. Cameron bamboozled the British public. The reform package he promised to deliver to the British people before a referendum was nothing more than mutton dressed as lamb. He hoped his European 'partners' would have bent a little in order to give him his pyrrhic victory which he believed would be enough to sell to those Tory voters who had not joined Ukip, and whom he believed to be so effortlessly pleased; along with the Liberal Democrat and Labour voters.
All Cameron was after was a big enough voting constituency to keep us in the EU. He knew it would not take much to keep those Tory voters that had not joined or voted Ukip on board, but he got it wrong; the EU refused him even this pauper's gruel to sell to his people and he will come back humiliated, and it will be the British people who will share that humiliation.
POLLS ARE SHOWING a small advantage to both sides of the argument[1]. But from the perspective of the Europhiles, remaining in the EU represents life or death for the union and they are now in a state of panic and about to use the same forewarnings they used unsuccessfully before the euro was rejected.
Those same individuals and institutions that counselled joining the euro; are now warning us of the consequences of leaving the EU: my hope is that those voices welcoming our membership of the euro will be treated with well-deserved contempt on this occasion.
The nation-state is alive and well in all four corners of the world. It is only within Europe that the impulse of the nation state is being seen as medieval, and only by our European elite who think they know best. The people of Europe may want to remain members of the EU - but ask them whether the price to be paid for such an alliance is their nationhood and their culture; and the dislocation of their own laws to Brussels; then they begin to comprehend what a federal political union actually means when the idealistic rhetoric is pushed to one side, and the romance of the whole venture has had a bucket of cold water poured over it from which reality closes in.
A FEDERAL UNION IS unworkable, but as with the euro the EU federalists will press on; for destiny beckons and no obstacle, whether it be reason itself, will be allowed to hinder the construction of a counterfeit United States of Europe. Much European arrogance has been expended on this project and it will not, at any cost[2], be allowed to fail, no matter the misery and sacrifice it may cause millions of Europeans now and in the future. Political and Monetary Union is a ghastly mistake that will haunt generations to come if it is continued with.
David Cameron is as fixated by the whole EU project as the whole political elite of Europe. In terms of numbers, such a constituency is minuscule in terms of the population within their individual countries and throughout the whole of Europe. But they have the power and leverage it provides; and will pursue it arrogantly by dismissing any or all of the eurosceptics arguments as 'populist' - i.e. supported by the proles, plebs and peasants of the continent of Europe. Such arrogance drives the people they so deride into the embrace of right-wing extremists; and then they complain that such people are Nazis.
Cameron and the pro-EU sophistry he is instinctively drawn to, as all of his generation were; and the next generation will also be drawn to throughout their liberal education; in order to prepare them for political office. Cameron will not betray his past. He only promised, after all, to negotiate for party political reasons – to keep his party together after Ukip enjoyed their success in the European elections; as well as last May's general election when Ukip garnered four million votes, but won only one a single seat.
Cameron will return from his 'crunch talks' not waving pieces of paper but flanked by spin doctors who will, after Cameron's address to the press after this 'crunch meeting', then be sent forth to brief the media in such terms that (at least in the Tory press) he will have achieved remarkable results on behalf of the UK. Results of the kind I know not what – we will have to wait and see. But if the spin is positive for staying in the EU, then liberal media will also join in the conservative presses praise of Cameron and once more, and no doubt not for the last time, the white indigenous working classes can go hang. .
[1] However, since writing this piece, the latest poll put the outer's nine points ahead.
[2] Including, as we witnessed in Greece, Italy and Spain; where ordinary people have and still are paying a heavy price for being allowed (in an act of solidarity) to become members of the euro when it made little economic or political sense to do so.
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