Friday, July 3, 2015

The barbarians are at the gates

ISIS NOW HAS a presence on the Golan Heights and in the Sinai - the latter no doubt being entered via the Gaza strip. ISIS attacked five Egyptian check points and in the ensuing battles there were over 70 deaths. The Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has, probably with ancient Rome in mind, said "We see ISIS at the gates …" – the gates being Israel's eastern and western borders.
               
               If it is proven that ISIS used tunnels built by Hamas to enter the Sinai, then Hamas would be as culpable as ISIS for the Egyptian deaths that have occurred. Since the removal of Morsi as president of Egypt, Hamas has been hard pressed to supply its people with black market consumer products tunnelled into Gaza from Egypt. Morsi and Hamas are both members of the Muslim Brotherhood and Hamas did very well out of Morsi's presidency. A blind eye was turned to black-marketing.
               
              Hamas collected millions in 'import' duties; and when the practice was ended by Egypt's current president, Abdel Fattah el-Sisi, Hamas made several attempts at taking on Egypt in the Sinai but failed; and if a link can now be established between Hamas and ISIS, then the Palestinian cause will suffer the loss of much sympathy in the West – especially after the events in Tunis.

ISRAEL NEEDS the West's support more today, than at any time in its short lived history as a modern democratic state – still a rarity in the Middle East. But in Washington we have for the first time an administration headed by a president that has always been cool toward Israel (in the American president's case; I would suggest hostile; for reasons it is better not to go into here[1]).
                
             Israel, without the support of America stands alone. Israel is portrayed by the Left in this country at least, as a Goliath and the Palestinians, as the heroic underdog David. It is a blasphemy of the reality. It would be true if the Israelis were only up against the Palestinians. But of course we know they are not. Historically they have had to look beyond the Palestinians toward Egypt, the Lebanon, Jordan, Syria, and in the modern age to Iran. In fact all Arab countries wish the state of Israel to depart the Middle Eastern stage and have made two attempts in 1967 and 1973 to bring this about. The 'Goliath' Israel has more to consider than the Palestinians. They have always had to defend their nation from the Arab world itself – this is the context; this is the reality; and to suggest that Israel is the Goliath is asinine at the very least.

IF ISIS COUNTINUES on its savage way with a limited Western response; their Caliphate will eventually try to integrate Israel itself into it; not into a Palestinian state but as an Islamic one which will be incorporated into their Grand Caliphate. The Palestinians will be no nearer to their beloved state than they are today - if successful in defeating the Israelis and by driving them back into the Diaspora the Palestinians think themselves 'liberated' – then no such concept exists under ISIS. So if Hamas did allow ISIS to use their tunnels to enter the Sinai and attack Egyptian security forces, then it was a desperate measure based on a fit of piqué at the way they had been treated by Morsi's successor, as well as a historical hatred of Israel. 
                
                Benjamin Netanyahu is a hard man. His hero is Winston Churchill whose photo he keeps in his office – while Obama removed a similar photo of Churchill from his office in the Whitehouse the moment he entered it. Netanyahu is, for all his faults, which I recognise,[2] is the best man for the job of keeping Israel secure at a time when the state faces opponents who treat diplomacy as a means to an end; and are prepared to lie and cheat to serve their ends. Israel has always understood the importance of intelligence gathering surrounded as she is (unlike any other nation) by enemies who wish to see her state wiped from the face of the earth.
                
                ISIS is a new force on the intelligence radar for Israel. So far Mossad has managed to adapt to all conditions to keep the state of Israel safe. It now faces its greatest challenge; greater than the threat from Syria which is now in turmoil - but it is still left wondering about its outcome. Israel has always believed in the part of the world they existed in and were familiar with – it is summed up in this one expression; it is better the enemy you know; and Israel would sooner see the Syrian president Assad overcome ISIS and return to the old hatreds, than see ISIS become victorious.
                
                Israel is now feeling the impact of ISIS on its borders. This impact will grow exponentially as the ISIS advances continue without meaningful Western intervention. Israel must now consider itself alone. The effete West troubled by their ruling liberal consciences that condemned Israel as war criminals when last year they took on Hamas in Gaza, must now stand alone without any support from the USA; while, that is, Obama remains in power.
               
                Israel has always had to fight its corner. These are desperate times for Israel, and they can no longer, under Obama's presidency, rely upon America when they need it. Obama dislikes Netanyahu and would have liked to have seen a more liberal prime minister elected.
                
                Netanyahu, like Churchill, is a war time leader. War time leaders are gifted to perform their primary function of saving the nation they dearly believe in which was the case with Churchill, and now with Netanyahu. Netanyahu is a war time leader like Churchill and must be supported in his task of keeping the state of Israel safe.
               


                                                                                                                                                                           



[1] And I do not refer to anti-Semitism.
[2] We can make a list of Churchill's faults beginning with Dardanelles campaign and ending with the Norway landings. 

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